Seattle at Baltimore

The Seattle Mariners, on the strength of eight straight wins, have pulled even with the Houston Astros for first place in the AL West. Seattle's pitching has been top-shelf, allowing 34 runs in their past 11, or just a tick over three per contest. Baltimore was trending up after a slow start, and the O's are 32-30 since June, but the bats have been quiet this month. The Orioles are on a 7-2-1 run UNDER in their past ten games, and need to find a spark if they hope to win their first series since taking three-of-four from Toronto. Logan Gilbert gets the start for Seattle today, commanding a high price, but Gilbert has struggled against lower-tier teams, going just 4-11 since 2023. The M's are 0-7 this season after a one-run victory, and Baltimore is on a 7-0 run following back-to-back losses by two runs or less. I like the value with the home side tonight. Take Baltimore, and bet this game to stay UNDER.