San Francisco at Miami

Everyone knows Barry Zito is a much better pitcher than the 0-8 record shows, and because of that this line offers value on the Giants who have won two straight. Zito has pitched more Zito-like recently. He has allowed no more that three runs in each of his last three starts and in six of his last eight. The Marlins have sprinted out of the gate. Scott Olsen has pitched way over his head after a 5.58 ERA last season, and he is showing signs of heading downward with a 4+ ERA in his last two starts where Zito has actually out-pitched him. These odds are too long, and there is favorable value on the Giants to get Zito his first win of the season.