The Giants have been dominating at home over the last season plus, but have been a mediocre team on the road, so being a favorite here is not suitable to their results. The Giants had more home wins than any other NL team a year ago, but were -9 on the road and at just .500 to start this season. The Marlins are a plus home team in that same period. The Giants haven't fared well as a road favorite behind Zito where they are just 2-5 in his last seven in this situation. The Marlins are also 11-5 vs an opponent that scored 5+ in their last game. I'll go with Florida here.
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