San Diego at Tampa Bay

I had San Diego's moneyline earlier this week against Pittsburgh, and the Padres cashed as the favorite. Today they're the price on the road against a Tampa Bay team that has been one of the better clubs in baseball, and I still like the number. Walker Buehler has quietly turned his season around: he's posted a 1.50 ERA in two of his last three starts and hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in any outing since the start of August. Nick Martinez gets the ball for the Rays, and he was sharp his last time out, a scoreless outing against Baltimore, but that followed a disaster start against Toronto where he allowed six runs and didn't make it out of the fourth inning. That kind of swing has defined his season more than the ERA lets on. San Diego is ten games over .500 and enters off a win of its own, and getting +120 on a team throwing the more consistent version of its starter feels like the number is in my favor. Side with San Diego this afternoon.