San Diego at St. Louis

San Diego has a losing road mark and is a long way from home. The Padres are 3-12 as a road underdog of +150 to +200, plus 1-5 on the road against a right-handed starter. Padres starter Ian Kennedy (4-7, 4.86 ERA) has been rocked by St. Louis in his career, posting a 2-4 mark with a 9.00 ERA while allowing the Cards to bat .314 against him. The Padres are also 2-7 when Kennedy is on the road versus a team with a winning record. St. Louis is 45-14 at home, as well as 43-13 as a home favorite. The Cardinals go with reliable Lance Lynn (5-4, 2.74), who has pitched great at home, posting a 3-1 mark with a 2.20 ERA while only allowing two homers in 45 innings. St. Louis is 30-11 at home this season and 38-15 when Lynn is a home favorite. The Padres are also 16-47 in the last 63 meetings in St. Louis and won't win today, either. Play St. Louis.