San Diego at Philadelphia

Ryan Madson has been somewhere between average and bad this season. Overall he's got a 5.71 ERA but surprisingly it's significantly worse at home (6.49). And, he lasts just 5 innings per start. Chan Ho Park is the better pitcher here. He's got a lower 4.32 ERA and over he's going a full inning and a half longer. He's also 6-2 with a 2.80 ERA vs. Philadelphia. Philly is off a loss and they are prone to putting together back-to-back losses (17-27 following a loss this season). San Diego's biggest strength is their bullpen which sports a 2.34 road ERA. I like the overall pitching matchup here a lot and as such we're getting nice value here on the dog.