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San Diego at Colorado

September 9, 2007
img3:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Colorado +110 (moneyline) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
WIN

The Rockies are 30-12 in their last 42 games at home, and we can't overlook them in a dog role in a place where they are out-playing everyone. They have been even better as a dog, as they have now gone 13-2 when they have been on the short side of the odds at home! Josh Fogg isn't going to win any Cy Young awards, but he has pitched two gems his last two starts, allowing just one and two earned runs respectively, and is 5-1 in his last six home starts. The Padres are just 2-4 in their last six, and Chris Young has not been nearly the same pitcher since he came off the DL with a strained oblique muscle. Young had gone 15 straight starts yielding as many as three earned runs just once, and had an ERA of 1.82. Since his return he has allowed four or more earned runs in four of the five starts. Young had served up four HRs the entire year, but has allowed four in just his last three outings. Young has truly lost his command, as he has also walked 17 in the 25 innings since his return, and his ERA has ballooned to 6.40. The Rockies just win at home, and we expect them to take this series.

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San Diego Padres
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Colorado Rockies
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