San Diego at Cincinnati

At 17-20, the Cincinnati Reds have found the going tough to start the 2014 season. There is value here against the soft-hitting Padres. The Reds have a MLB high 12 losses by 1 run, so they have been drawing the short straw, and playing better than the record would indicate. Johnny Cueto is pitching lights-out to an ERA of 1.43 on the season, and will have a relatively easy lineup to navigate in this one. The Padres are 0-5 in Kennedy's last five starts vs. a team that scored 2 runs or less in their previous game, while the Reds have compiled a stellar 40-15 record in Cueto's last 55 starts as a favorite. Take Cincinnati.