Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay

Four of Pittsburgh's five games have been decided by one run. The offense leads the majors in stolen bases (17) and the pitching has been good, ranked 14th in ERA and ninth in strikeouts. Tampa Bay's offense is 18th in runs scored after a 2024 season where it was 29th in slugging, 24th in on-base percentage, and 29th in scoring. They scored 10 runs in three games, all at home, against a bad Colorado staff, including a 2-1 loss as a -185 favorite. They're favored again, although the team is 9-12 in the last 21 starts made by Shane Baz. Play Pittsburgh.