Pittsburgh at Miami

Pittsburgh is flying high at 3-0. Of course, they were outscored by 98 runs last season, the fourth-worst differential in the NL. Starter Bailey Falter comes off a poor campaign with the Pirates sporting a 5.36 ERA. He's had ERAs over 5 in three of his four seasons. Miami was 46-35 at home in 2023 and plays its fourth consecutive home contest. The Marlins are 18-7 at home against NL teams averaging 4.5+ runs, so back home field. Play Miami.