Pittsburgh at Chicago

Pittsburgh can sweep the Cubs here and win their eighth in a row over their rival. Chicago is just 8-10 at home this season and they have lost nine of their last eleven overall. The Cubs look to Ted Lilly to stem the bleeding but he is just 1-3 on the season and has posted a 6.75 ERA at home. This season when the Cubs are favored in this range, they are just 5-20 on the runline. Overall they are 6-18 on the runline vs. winning teams. Pittsburgh could win this one but we'll take a little extra insurance with the +1.5 runs.