Pittsburgh at Chicago

Pittsburgh is 2-3 over the last five games, winning as underdogs of +155 and +110 along with a 3-2 loss to the Cubs yesterday as a +130 dog. The team has won two of the last three starts made by Bryse Wilson, surrendering a total of five earned runs in 16 innings, with one walk and 11 Ks. Chicago is favored but the Cubs are just 19-32 at Wrigley Field. They rank #18 in runs scored, while the pitching staff is #25 in team ERA (4.45). Starter Keegan Thompson is winless over his last four starts and has a 4.40 ERA at home this season. He's also 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA in his last three home starts. Pittsburgh has won four of the last five meetings versus the Cubs and the wagering value is on the visitors to win the game or lose by one run. Play Pittsburgh on the run line.