Pittsburgh at Atlanta

Braxton Ashcraft has been one of the better pitching stories in the National League this season — 5-2 with a 2.77 ERA, capable of containing elite lineups. He goes this afternoon opposite Spencer Strider, who has been climbing back after a difficult 2025 return and sits at a 3.77 ERA in 2026. The Braves are 43-21, and their offense is legitimately one of the most dangerous in the league. But Ashcraft earns this price today. He has held top lineups down all spring, and with a full run of ERA separating these two starters heading into this one, the pitching edge belongs to Pittsburgh. The market is pricing this near even money for a reason. At that price, the play is in Pittsburgh this afternoon. Take the Pirates.