2010 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks
August 01, 2010
Philadelphia at Washington
Sunday 08/01 01:35 PM Eastern
2 units on Washington +160 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
This line is out of whack. Sure, it seems impossible for the Nats to sweep the Phillies. But, is it really so crazy? The Phils are 7-20 on the road since the end of May. Cole Hamels surely has an advantage over John Lannan, but Hamels is just 3-5 on the road this season and he lasts only 5.8 innings per start. If this game is left up to the bullpens, Washington has a big advantage. Philadelphia's pen owns a 4.69 ERA and 58.8% save percentage on the road. At home, Washington's pen has posted a 3.08 ERA with a 68% save percentage. When facing a good bullpen (ERA of 3.75 or better) this season, Philadelphia is just 16-23. As a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season, Philly is 4-14. I like Washington at these juicy odds.