This pick was released to clients on July 13, 2025 at 11:41AM ET.
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Philadelphia at San Diego

July 13, 2025
img4:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

San Diego goes for the sweep after winning the first two games of the series following a 5-4 victory on the Saturday. Jackson Merrill hit two homers and Manny Machado had a go-ahead sacrifice fly in the seventh inning for the Padres. Philadelphia has lost four of five and it has gone UNDER in Christopher Sanchez's past five starts. He has pitched well, but has been getting poor run support. Nick Pivetta has only allowed seven runs in 30 1/3 innings and San Diego has won four of his past five outings. Pivetta is 6-0 with a 2.30 ERA and a .193 opponent batting average at home in 2025. The Phillies are a 13-5 UNDER run overall and 10-3 UNDER on the road. Five of the past seven meetings have stayed UNDER and the Phillies are 6-0-1 UNDER after allowing at least five runs their previous game. San Diego is 5-0 UNDER after scoring five or more its previous game. Take the Padres and the UNDER.

1 unit on San Diego +117 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.17)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 7.5 -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
WIN
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Philadelphia Phillies img
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San Diego Padres
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consensus consensus
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