Philadelphia at Pittsburgh

Adam Eaton is certainly the weak link in the Philly rotation. He posted an ERA of 5.12 in 2006 and 6.29 last year, along with 41 HRs in just 226 innings over these two seasons. Zach Duke has had three good starts with an ERA of 2.89 prior to giving up 5 runs in his last outing. We expect him to bounce back. He has walked just six batters in 23 innings, and is yet to serve up the long ball. This has not been a great park for the Phillies to play in, as the Pirates own a 13-6 mark against them at home over the last six seasons. They have not lost a series to them at home since 2001. We'll back the Pirates at home.