This pick was released to clients on April 21, 2025 at 11:47AM ET.
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Philadelphia at New York

April 21, 2025
img7:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Philadelphia has a losing road record and begins a six-game trip. Aaron Nola (0-4, 6.65 ERA) has struggled to throw strikes consistently, particularly in the first inning. He's been working to execute his breaking pitches, with batters hitting them well, plus walking batters at a high rate. Nola has thrown bases-loaded walks in each of his last two games. The Phillies' bullpen has the second-highest ERA (5.81). The Mets are 9-1 at home and have won the first four of this seven-game homestand, scoring 19 runs. Starter Tylor Megill (1.40 ERA) has been sharp, and the New York relief staff is third in ERA (2.27) and second in WHIP. Play New York.

1 unit on New York -123 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.81)
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