Philadelphia at Los Angeles

The Dodgers have not gotten the type of year out of Brad Penny as they did last year, but his numbers are a bit distorted as he carries a king-size 5.66 ERA into this one. Penny had a bad shoulder and tried to pitch through it and got torched for several games, but he returned in his early-season form, and last year's form, by allowing just one run in five innings. We expect the value to be the greatest on him now, because of the illusion of his bad numbers. Joe Blanton was brought over from Oakland to strengthen the Philly staff. This guy is just an average pitcher with a career ERA of 4.22 having a bad season at 4.71, and an overall record of 6-12. We like the fact that Penny is below the radar here and a great shot at the Dodgers to score big on the runline.