Oakland at San Francisco

Matt Cain has been a tough luck pitcher. Last year he pitched to a 3.65 ERA, but his record was 7-16. He has pitched 9 of his 14 starts allowing 3 runs or less this season, but yet has just 3 wins so the value in SF as a home dog is apparent. Rich Harden has pitched well for the A's as well, but there is a very telling stat that applies to this game. Home teams with a moneyline from -125 to +125 and starting a pitcher with an ERA of 4.20-4.70 against a pitcher allowing 5.5 hits or less have torn the books apart, winning 63 of 85, or 74.1% of the time.  Hard to ignore and we will ride the Giants at home here.