Oakland at Boston

Like the Yankees, the Red Sox are typically overpriced. But unlike the Yankees, the Red Sox have not won enough to cover that price as they are just 16-13 this season at home, sitting at negative units. Against the runline, it's even worse as they are 10-19 for -6.4 units. John Lackey has put up a very pedestrian 5.52 ERA at home this season. Gio Gonzalez has been better than that, posting a 4.23 road ERA. In his last three starts, he's averaged 7.1 innings and put together a great 2.53 ERA. Sure, the A's have batting problems but Boston is just 4-15 vs. the runline this season vs. AL teams hitting .255 or worse. I like Oakland to keep this close.