New York at Texas

New York's pitching is third in the majors in ERA (3.35) and No. 1 in the bullpen (2.33), but the offense is 21st in runs scored and 26th in on-base percentage. The Yankees are on a 27-11-1 run UNDER the total, including 34-16-1 UNDER versus winning teams after a 2-0 loss yesterday. They will be without injured Aaron Judge again but will have Nestor Cortes (3.49 ERA) starting with a 28-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 28 innings. New York is 40-18-4 UNDER the total versus the AL West, plus 27-10-1 UNDER after scoring 2 runs or fewer in the last game. The Texas pitching is seventh in the majors in ERA (3.48) and ninth in the bullpen (3.47). Starter Martin Perez (2.60 ERA) has a 1.59 ERA at home and the UNDER is 15-5-1 when these teams clash. Take New York/Texas UNDER the total.