This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 05, 2026 at 10:19AM ET.
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New York at Tampa Bay

October 5, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

The Yankees managed one hit against Tampa Bay in Game 1 on Saturday. Drew Rasmussen threw eight innings with 10 strikeouts in the 1-0 win, and Bryan Baker pitched the ninth. Cam Schlittler finished the regular season at a 1.95 ERA with 239 strikeouts, and New York hit 223 home runs, second in the majors. Tampa Bay won 98 games to the Yankees' 93 and owns the better team OPS, .728 to .720, so the power doesn't separate these lineups. Freddy Peralta's 4.42 season ERA is mostly a Mets number: 4.99 there and 3.25 since the trade, with a 1.01 WHIP over 10 starts for the Rays. In his last six starts, he allowed three earned runs over 34 innings. The team with the best record in the American League is a slight underdog in a series it already leads. Tampa Bay is the right side on the moneyline tonight.

1 unit on Tampa Bay +113 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.13)
Result:
WIN
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New York Yankees
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consensus consensus
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