New York at Tampa Bay

Scott Kazmir has battled injuries and has not delivered his quality stuff most of the season, but he seems to rise with the challenge of facing the Yankees as he owns a 2.65 career ERA against them. CC Sabathia has had a good season for the Yankees, but far from a great one. His season-to-date ERA matches his career numbers, but his walks are up and his strikeouts are down. The Yankees are also just 11-10 in his 21 starts, so certainly nothing given here, and they are just 2-3 in his last five on the road. Sabathia has had trouble with consistency as the Yankees are just 1-4 in his last five starts following a quality start in his last outing. The Rays are 88-36 in their last 124 at home, so getting them as a dog is always a valued option, so I'll go with the Rays here.