New York at Tampa Bay

The Yankees have won five of their last six games, but that doesn't change the big picture. This team has struggled since June with too many games decided by their mental mistakes and errors. The Rays have to go on a long winning streak to get back in the Wild Card race, and Tampa Bay has a winning record in its last 27 games as a dog from +125 to +175. The Yankees are 5-13 in their last 18 divisional road games, and we're getting good value here on the home side. Make the play on Tampa Bay.