New York at San Diego

New York has won two straight since an ugly series-opening loss in Anaheim, and Max Fried has been the headliner, working to a 2.80 ERA that's held up start after start, including his last turn against Boston. San Diego has been sliding at exactly the wrong time, losing four of its last five and dropping the final two to close out a series in Cincinnati that exposed just how thin this pitching staff gets past the top of the rotation. Walker Buehler draws the ball for the Padres, and his 4.66 ERA tells the story of a pitcher who hasn't found consistency all year, alternating strong outings with rocky ones and giving New York's lineup real scoring chances tonight. The Yankees are 80-60 on the year and 43-29 on the road, a mark that reflects a club built for series like this one, while San Diego's strong home record this season hasn't translated into results against good pitching lately. Fried against Buehler is the whole argument here, and it tilts hard toward New York. Take the Yankees on the moneyline tonight.