New York at Cleveland

The wrong team is favored here and it's thanks to a Yankees win streak, the name on their jersey and a 10 run performance last game. The fact is, Cleveland is playing as well as the Yankees recently and they are at home with Carl Pavano on the mound. Pavano is 52-37 over the past decade vs. teams with winning records. The Yankees have a losing record in games set with a total of 10+ over the past couple of sesasons including going 3-13 on the road with a total between 10 and 11. Over that same stretch, the Indians aer 21-8 after an extended period at home (after 6+ straight home games). I'll take the home dog here with their best pitcher on the mound.