New York at Boston

No lead is safe in hitter-friendly Fenway. Boston rallied for a 6-5 win in 10 innings yesterday with the teams combining to use eight relief pitchers. New York has scored 39 runs in the last four games, is second in the league in on-base percentage and slugging, and first in runs scored. The Yankees are 17-5 OVER the total when their opponent scores five or more runs in the last game. The Red Sox are fourth in on-base percentage, eighth in slugging, and sixth in runs scored while starter Nick Pivetta has a 6.35 against the Yankees this season. Boston is 30-15 OVER the total at home against teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per contest and 87-58 OVER at Fenway versus teams with a bullpen WHIP of 1.150 or better. Play this one to go OVER the total.