New York at Baltimore

Cory Lidle is off a great showing against the Twins in which he allowed two hits and led the Yankees to an 8-1 win. He's got a winning record with the Yanks and a 3.38 ERA. Erik Bedard goes for the O's and he's been very good at home. But, Baltimore's offense is bad right now (3.1 per game over their last seven) and I don't think they can keep up with New York. Baltimore shrinks against elite competition (they are 9-15 the past two seasons vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5+ runs per game) and Bedard is 7-20 vs. winning teams over that span. In second-half of season play, he's 0-10 vs. teams at 54%+. Yankess here.