New York at Baltimore

Third straight road game for the New York Yankees, part of a seven-game trip. The offense is a mess, dropping to 23rd in runs and on base percentage, 24th in slugging despite playing half their games in a hitter-friendly park. They are 0-4 the last four games, getting outscored 25-11. The Yankees are 2-5 in Hiroki Kuroda's last seven starts, and his ERA is over a full run higher on the road than at home.  The Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 games following a loss, just 2-8 as an underdog. They face a powerhouse Baltimore offense that is second in baseball in runs scored, tops in slugging. While Kuroda has a strong overall WHIP, the Orioles are 36-16 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Baltimore is on a 4-1 run at home and 24-9 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Baltimore has a great bullpen, and starter Chris Tillman (9-2) is 3-0 his last three starts.  The Orioles are 21-8 in Tillman's last 29 starts, 10-1 in his last 11 home starts against a team with a winning record. And when these rivals meet, the Orioles have won four in a row, while the Yankees are 0-4 in the last four meetings in Baltimore. Play the Orioles.