New York at Washington

I had the Mets yesterday, and they beat Washington 7-1 with Jonah Tong allowing one run over five innings. That game finished at eight runs, and I expect the finale to play tighter. Sean Manaea's 4.67 ERA reads worse than the pitcher taking the ball today. He's allowed two earned runs in each of his last two starts, the latest a six-inning outing at Texas with nine strikeouts. DJ Herz makes his second start back from Tommy John surgery after throwing 63 pitches in his debut, so a quick hook is likely and Washington's bullpen will be asked for innings. That pen carries a 5.03 ERA, and it's the real threat here. The lineup it faces offsets that: the Mets rank 24th in OPS this season. Washington ranks third in runs per game, but it has scored 17 runs over its last five games. Both clubs are eliminated and playing game 162 with nothing left on the line. Take the UNDER this afternoon.