New York at St. Louis

New York has won the past eight meetings, including a four-game sweep last month. Clay Holmes threw five shutout innings on four hits against Washington in his previous outing, and he has allowed only nine earned runs with 36 strikeouts in 30 2/3 innings this season. He has faced St. Louis once in 2025 and gave up a run on four hits in six innings. The Mets have won Holmes' past five starts. The Cardinals have lost six of seven against NL East opponents, and they are 2-8 in their past 10 games after allowing at least five runs in their previous game. St. Louis has gone UNDER five of eight overall, and five of the past eight meetings have stayed UNDER. New York is 21-11 UNDER and 10-6 UNDER on the road. Take the Mets and the UNDER.