New York at San Diego

The San Diego Padres generated little offense last season, and some changes had to be made if they were going to compete in the NL West. It has helped them to an extent, raising their team average 18 points over a year ago, and have been on a pace to more than surpass last year's HR numbers. It didn't help them last night as they fell to Jason deGrom and the New York Mets 7-0. The Mets, however, have played very poorly on the road this season at 8-15. While the numbers don't look favorable here, the Padres find themselves in one of the top dog situations in baseball, one that has produced a 55-34 record and an ROI of +33.2% over the last 12 years. San Diego has responded with a 7-1 record in their last eight after allowing 5+ runs in their previous contest, and are 10-4 in Kennedy's last 14 starts to a total of 6.5 or less. Make the play on San Diego.