2008 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks

May 04, 2008


New York at Arizona

Sunday 05/04 04:10 PM Eastern

3 units on Arizona +109 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: LOSS

No team has a better record than the D-Backs this year. We backed them on the runline yesterday and today we'll back them again, this time on the moneyline. The name on the back of the Mets pitcher's jersey today has this line where it is. Santana is great, but Haren has been his equal thus far this year through seven games, posting a 3.13 ERA, allowing just 13 earned runs, 32 hits, 3 home runs and 7 walks in 37 innings. At home, he's 4-0 witha 1.69 ERA! So call this a wash or close to it. What happens when these pitchers take a seat? The Mets' bullpen has a 6.30 road ERA this season. Arizona's at home boasts a 3.18 ERA. How about offense? No contest. The Mets are averaging 4.6 runs per game while Arizona is averaging 5.9 per game (6.7 at home). The Mets are just 4-14 the past two seasons vs. teams that average over 5.2 runs per game. Santana is just 6-12 vs. teams with a winning record over that same span! Don't get sucked in here by the big name. The play here is on the better team, with the better bullpen and much better offense.


2008 Recent Results

Wins Losses Units
11 5 +3.72

with detailed analysis