Minnesota at Texas

Joe Ryan hasn't been touched in over a month. Eight starts since the beginning of May, he's carrying a 2.66 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with a 44:6 strikeout-to-walk ratio, the kind of command profile that keeps a bullpen in the dugout for seven innings at a time. Five quality starts over his last six outings. He arrives in Texas tonight at 3.29 ERA and 0.88 WHIP for the season, one of the cleaner lines any starter in the American League is running. Jack Leiter is operating on a different trajectory, but a promising one: after a rough three-start stretch in April and May pushed his ERA toward five, he bounced back last time out against Cincinnati — nine strikeouts, one run in five innings. Minnesota is exactly the lineup that benefits him. The Twins strike out at an above-average clip while walking at one of the lower rates in the league, a profile that turns Leiter's occasional wildness into a rarer problem and his power arsenal into the story. Ryan limits damage by design. Leiter limits it by matchup. Take the UNDER.