Minnesota at Texas

The Texas Rangers have been one of the worst offensive clubs in baseball all season, ranking 29th in the majors and averaging less than 4.0 runs per game. That number is already shaky, and it got worse — Corey Seager, one of the few Rangers who can hit for power, has missed consecutive games with a rib/jaw issue, reshaping a lineup that was already struggling to manufacture runs. Kumar Rocker has been a different pitcher over the last month. After a rough April, he's allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, posting under a 2.00 ERA in that stretch. He walks too many and doesn't pile up strikeouts, but he's finding ways to keep the ball in the park and strand traffic. Zebby Matthews has been up and down for Minnesota, and his ERA has crept into the fives in recent weeks, but the Twins still have to put the ball in play against a Rangers defense that's been solid. When you run the math on a team averaging 3.99 runs with their best hitter watching from the dugout, it doesn’t get you to 8.5, and sharp money’s already moved this number off the opener. Take the UNDER.