Minnesota at St. Louis

Francisco Liriano has gone 3-8 with a 5.88 ERA. On the road his ERA is 6.32. Joel Pineiro has a losing record but that's no fault of his own. He's put up a 3.40 ERA overall, 2.32 at home and 1.61 in his last three starts! The Twins are averaging just 4.1 runs per game on the road and 3.9 per game in day-games. Dating back to last season, they are just 16-27 against the run line on the road in day games. Over that same span, the Cardinals are 19-10 vs. the run line at home coming off a win by 2+ runs. With this pitching matchup, I like the Cards at home on the run line.