Minnesota at Kansas City

Minnesota has won seven of the last eight against Kansas City and needs a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. The offense is #12 in on-base percentage, #11 in slugging, and the Twins have a reliable starter on the mound in Bailey Ober (3.49 ERA). He has a 34-to-8 strikeout to walk ratio in 38+ innings along with a 2.45 ERA on the road. He started two wins against Kansas City this season with the offense scoring 17 runs. The Twins are 20-11 after two or more losses, plus 75-42 against a starter who lasts less than five innings per start. Meanwhile, Kansas City is on a 3-7 slide ranked #27 in the majors in pitching ERA (4.72), while the offense is #24 in runs scored, #22 in on-base percentage, and #26 in slugging. Batters are hitting .291 off starter Daniel Lynch, who has a 6.11 ERA at home in 53 innings this season. The wagering value is a one-sided win by the visitors. Play Minnesota on the run line.