2015 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks
September 06, 2015
This pick was released to clients on September 06, 2020 at 12:34PM ET.
Minnesota at Houston
Sunday 09/06 02:10 PM Eastern
1 unit on Houston -1.5 runs -109 (runline) (risk 1 to return 1.92) RESULT: WIN
Minnesota is a weak road team and ranks 29th in baseball in on-base percentage. The Twins are 17-36 on the road against a team with a winning record. Twins starter Tyler Duffey (2-1, 4.56 ERA) may have a winning record, but that won't last, allowing 40 base runners in 25+ innings. He walks too many batters and has a 6.00 ERA on the road. The Astros are 39-15 in their last 54 home games and rank 10th in baseball in runs scored and fifth in slugging. The Astros lead the American League West by two games over Texas and have ace Dallas Keuchel (16-6, 2.24 ERA) going, 24-8 in his last 32 starts. Keuchel has won 13 straight decisions at home dating back to last year, and the Astros are 20-6 in his last 26 home starts. He has allowed a total of four runs over his past four starts covering 28 innings. Keuchel is 12-0 at home this season with a 1.35 ERA and has a 1.17 ERA in two career games against Minnesota. The Astros are 25-9 at home against a right-handed starter, as well as 8-1 after a defeat. In Houston's last five wins they've won by scores of 8-0, 8-3, 4-1, 6-2, and 15-1, so look for a one-sided rout. Play Houston on the runline.