Minnesota at Houston

Minnesota is 11-14 on the road and has lost eight of 12 overall. Starter Sonny Gray has been lights-out at home (1.27 ERA) but his ERA is over a run-and-a-half higher on the road. The Twins are 9-24 on the road against winning teams, plus 55-70 versus teams with a bullpen WHIP of 1.250 or better. Defending champion Houston is No. 1 in the majors in pitching ERA (3.16) and in the bullpen (3.10). Starter J.P. France (3.43 ERA) has been very good and the Astros are 68-34 against winning teams, 45-19 versus an AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.200 or better, plus 32-9 against teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per contest. Houston has won seven of the last nine against Minnesota, so back home field. Play Houston.