Minnesota at Cleveland

We were on Minnesota's number last night, and Cleveland got there late, riding a two-run swing in the sixth to take it in a game that looked competitive for six innings. That's actually the point tonight: the Twins have hung around in this series without having the pitching depth to finish the job, and Minnesota's bullpen has been one of the worst in the league all season, a real problem in a four-game set where close games keep finding the middle innings. Bailey Ober gets the ball for Minnesota with an ERA pushing past four, and Slade Cecconi counters for Cleveland in a similarly middling spot on paper, but the gap that matters here isn't the starters; it's who's standing behind them. Cleveland's relief corps ranks among the better units in the league, and that depth has been the difference in both of the first two games of this series. That gap hasn't closed in two nights, and I don't expect it to tonight. Side with Cleveland on the moneyline.