Milwaukee at Washington

The Nats are 13-23 in night games but 9-6 in day games. They get much more offense during the day. Milwaukee tends to play down to their competition as they are 6-17 the past two seasons against teams with an OBP of .315 or worse and 10-2 against teams that are outscored by 0.5+ runs per game. The Brewers are just 24-35 as a road favorite of -125 or higher the past decade. They are also 7-22 on the road in May the past two seasons. We'll back the home dog here.