Milwaukee at Philadelphia

Milwaukee has the NL's best record, +40 games over .500 and riding an 8-2 mark over its last ten games entering tonight's series opener. One shaky turn from Dustin May doesn't change that read. He lasted just two and a third innings his last time out, allowed three runs against Baltimore, and the Brewers still won 6-5 behind an offense that leads the league in runs scored. Zack Wheeler is a legitimate problem on the other side: seven scoreless innings his last time out, a 2.99 ERA among the league's best, and a lineup that has to respect him regardless of the deficit on the mound. Milwaukee has answered pitching like that all season anyway, riding the deepest roster in the National League past shaky starts and tough arms alike, and this is simply the better team from top to bottom, even on a night it's catching plus money. Milwaukee is the play.