2008 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks
October 01, 2008
Milwaukee at Philadelphia
Wednesday 10/01 03:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: win
4 units on Philadelphia -203 (moneyline) (risk 4 to return 4) RESULT: win
The Phillies will take on the Brewers to open the NL playoffs. Cole Hamels gets the ball for the Phillies and although the Brewers have been tough on lefthanders, Hamels hasn't been one of them. Hamels has made two starts at home against the Brewers, including one three weeks ago where he allowed just two runs over 6.1 innings. His home starts against the Brewers shows just eight hits allowed in 14.1 innings with 16 k's and a brilliant 2.51 ERA. The Brewers did not get to align their rotation for the playoffs because they did not clinch until the last day of the season. They will go with Yovani Gallardo who, because of a series of injuries threw just 24 innings all season. Gallardo has good stuff, but he is not ready to pitch very deep into games. Off of one four-inning start in September, I would be surprised if he locates well in this one, so the pitching matchup goes to Hamels here as well as the bullpen edge where the Phillies have the top pen in the NL with a 3.21 ERA. I also like the UNDER as the Phillies have their ace with a solid history against the Brewers. He is backed by a top bullpen and all four of Gallardo's starts this season have gone UNDER as well.