Milwaukee at Los Angeles

I had Milwaukee on the moneyline in Game 1 and Game 2 of this series, and both cashed. Milwaukee’s relievers threw 9.2 scoreless innings across those two games. Los Angeles’s relievers gave up 4 runs in 8.1 innings, all of them on Monday, when seven of them pitched. Tuesday was an off day, so that bullpen is rested, and how many innings it inherits depends on Blake Snell. His 1.90 ERA comes from 42.2 innings in nine starts, under five innings per start, and his last four ended after 5.2, 1.0, 4.0, and 3.2 innings, with the last one coming on October 4 against Atlanta, when he allowed five walks. That puts the Dodgers' relievers on the mound early. Robert Gasser has given up 15 homers in 109.1 innings, and Los Angeles hit two off him in 6.1 innings on August 14. Those same relievers are the ones facing Milwaukee’s lineup, and runs they give up count toward the OVER as well as the moneyline. There's also respected money on Milwaukee, with the dollars running ahead of the ticket count, and the moneyline needs Milwaukee to win 38.3% of the time to pay. Take the Brewers on the moneyline tonight, and bet this game to go OVER.