Milwaukee at Cincinnati

I was on the road with Milwaukee earlier this week, backing the Brewers on the run line against the best offense in the sport, and they covered without much sweat. That's been the story of this club all season: 88-54, the best record in the National League, with a pitching staff that ranks second in the majors in ERA and an offense that ranks third in runs per game. Cincinnati got a taste of both last night, falling 10-7 as Milwaukee's lineup did what it has done all year to lesser arms. Dustin May takes the ball tonight carrying a 4.69 ERA that hides how uneven his last few turns have been, but he does not need to be sharp against a Reds staff sitting at a 4.68 ERA, 26th in baseball, and an Andrew Abbott who just got rocked for seven runs in three innings his last time out. Cincinnati is 67-74 and still hasn't found a win in this series, and nothing about Abbott's last outing suggests tonight changes that. Milwaukee is the right side on the moneyline tonight.