Milwaukee at Cincinnati

We took Cincinnati yesterday as a home dog, pointing out that Milwaukee has no business being a road favorite. Well, today, the oddsmakers got the line better but I still like Cincinnati here. Again, the starting pitching matchup is overly influencing the line. Tomo Ohka has been good in his starts while Eric Milton has been below average. But, Cincinnati is a winner and Milwaukee, especially on the road, is not. The Brewers have lost nine of eleven and they are playing their ninth straight on the road. As mentioned yesterday, they get run down. They are now 4-18 after 5+ consecutive road games this season. Back to Ohka - he's 5-18 in July games. Cincinnati gets 5.2 per game at home while Milwaukee manages just 4.8 per game on the road. Reds here.