Milwaukee at Cincinnati

The Cincinnati Reds took the opening game of the series from Milwaukee, but have lost the last two. They will go for a series split behind Nick Martinez this afternoon. Martinez has shown signs of improvement after starting his career at 28-43 in his first 71 decisions, to 11-7 in his last 18. He has won his first two decisions this season. The Brewers will counter with Freddy Peralta. Peralta owns a 57-44 record through his first 101 decisions, but has a losing road record in his career. Martinez has made two career starts vs the Brewers and Milwaukee has been limited to three runs in each of them. I like the Reds here as a dog, and will make the play on Cincinnati.