Milwaukee at Atlanta

Despite some good numbers, Sabathia's teams have only been 11-11 on the season when he takes the mound. This is also a Brewers’ team that has dropped five of their last six games, with opponents scoring six or more runs in the five losses. Atlanta has been a dreadful team on the road, but has been cashing at home with a 32-24 mark. The Brewers have also been a lethal 23-12 against LHP, but a mediocre 38-37 against righties. The Brewers have their worst mark against any NL Division against the East at 11-11. Charlie Morton did tame this Brewers’ lineup with a six-inning two-run performance earlier, so we like the value on the Braves here.