Miami at San Diego

I was on San Diego's moneyline yesterday afternoon, and the Padres put together a seven-run second inning that turned a tight game into a laugher over Colorado. That kind of firepower is exactly why the total is the play here instead. Miami sends Tyler Phillips to the mound, a pitcher the Marlins have used almost as much out of the bullpen as in the rotation this year, and his last five turns have reached five innings only twice. San Diego counters with Nick Pivetta, making just his sixth start of the season after missing most of the year, and he's been limited to four or five innings in both outings since his return. Neither pitching staff is expected to get a traditional workload from its starter tonight, which means both bullpens will be leaned on early, and neither offense is a pushover: both clubs are scoring more than four and a quarter runs a game this season. Two short outings and two lineups that can push this number. Take the OVER tonight.