Miami is 3,000 miles from home, yet a big favorite behind Ricky Nolasco, who has a 5.62 ERA against the Padres. This is not a good Miami team at No. 24 in runs scored, No. 23 in on-base percentage with a team batting average of just .230 (No. 27). They have a losing road record and are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Miami is riding a remarkable five-game win streak, but don't get too caught up in that. They won four of the games by a single run. They even won by one run after giving up 8 runs to San Diego. Meanwhile San Diego is 2-2 its last four games, winning twice as a dog and losing to this Miami team by one run. Starter Joe Wieland is winless but throwing well, with 20 strikeouts in 22 innings, only 8 walks and 21 hits allowed. Miami has never faced him before, so play the Padres on the runline.
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